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Geopolitics
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 30
80%
Yes
No
August 31
7%
Yes
No
$60.4K
Monthly
—
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 31
7%
Yes
No
$305.0K
—
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
$8.4M
—
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
$1.2M
—
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
December 31
17%
Yes
No
$52.6K
—
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
August 31
1%
Yes
No
$137.3K
—
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 31
11%
Yes
No
$166.3K
—
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 31
4%
Yes
No
$341.5K
—
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 31
2%
Yes
No
$100.6K
—
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
$117.8K
Monthly
—
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$1.1K
—
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$32.4K
Monthly
—
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
$940.1K
—
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$236.0K
—
