Predictions Wallet Profile

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Politics

Fed Decision in September?

No change69%Yes No
25 bps increase31%Yes No

$46.5MMonthly—

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro34%Yes No

Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?

320-33917%Yes No
300-31917%Yes No

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%Yes No
Gavin Newsom15%Yes No

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

August 2299%Yes No
August 2595%Yes No

Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?

90-11479%Yes No
115-13913%Yes No

$643.1KDaily—

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32%Yes No
Édouard Philippe26%Yes No

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3167%Yes No
October 3143%Yes No

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%Yes No

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro85%Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%Yes No

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance47%Yes No
Marco Rubio21%Yes No

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202725%Yes No
December 3116%Yes No

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)69%Yes No
New People (NL)24%Yes No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$5.1MMonthly—

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 202760%Yes No
December 31, 202647%Yes No

$9.8MMonthly—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$8.9MMonthly—

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$59.3MMonthly—

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202713%Yes No
December 31, 20268%Yes No

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 314%Yes No
September 302%Yes No

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson89%Yes No
Ulf Kristersson10%Yes No

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$39.9MMonthly—

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party88%Yes No
Republican Party13%Yes No

$9.6MMonthly—

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3121%Yes No
October 3111%Yes No