Predictions Wallet Profile

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All Trump Midterms Global Elections Primaries Congress Courts Trump Daily Russia Election UK Elections Israel Election German Elections French Elections US Election Mayoral Elections South Korea Japan China Brazil Canada Venezuela Turkey Epstein Trump Cabinet Gov Shutdown

Politics

Fed Decision in September?

No change66%Yes No
25 bps increase33%Yes No

$29.7MMonthly—

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

David Crowley100%Yes No
Mandela Barnes0%Yes No

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3184%Yes No
October 3173%Yes No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 313%Yes No

$18.4MMonthly—

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

140-15944%Yes No
160-17934%Yes No

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Darline Graham Nordone74%Yes No
Ralph Norman27%Yes No

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%Yes No
Marco Rubio12%Yes No

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%Yes No
Gavin Newsom17%Yes No

Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026?

<4097%Yes No
40-643%Yes No

$482.4KDaily—

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro27%Yes No

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Darline Graham Nordone100%Yes No
Ralph Norman0%Yes No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$3.0MMonthly—

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage99%Yes No
Count Binface1%Yes No

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance44%Yes No
Marco Rubio23%Yes No

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$58.4MMonthly—

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)68%Yes No
New People (NL)25%Yes No

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202712%Yes No
December 31, 20268%Yes No

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$7.9MMonthly—

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Lisa Demuth100%Yes No
Kendall Qualls0%Yes No

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Peggy Flanagan100%Yes No
Angie Craig0%Yes No

Trump out as President by August 31?

$1.3MMonthly—

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Small Brackets)

Crowley <1%100%Yes No
Crowley 3–4%0%Yes No