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Geopolitics

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • August 2299%YesNo
  • August 2596%YesNo
$1.5M—

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance
YesNo
$59.3MMonthly—

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • August 3196%YesNo
  • September 3084%YesNo
$26.1M—

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

  • Gadi Eizenkot57%YesNo
  • Benjamin Netanyahu29%YesNo
$32.8M—

Israel closes its airspace by...?

  • September 309%YesNo
  • August 313%YesNo
$27.3M—

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

  • December 31, 202629%YesNo
$3.6M—

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

  • December 315%YesNo
$21.8M—

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

18%chance
YesNo
$336.7K—

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

  • December 314%YesNo
$7.8MMonthly—

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

  • December 3124%YesNo
  • September 307%YesNo
$6.8M—

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

  • September 3080%YesNo
  • August 317%YesNo
$60.4KMonthly—

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

  • No Change75%YesNo
  • Decrease22%YesNo
$62.6K—

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%chance
YesNo
$24.8MMonthly—

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

  • December 3195%YesNo
  • September 3094%YesNo
$334.1K—

Israel military action against Syria by...?

  • September 3042%YesNo
  • September 1527%YesNo
$6.1KMonthly—

Netanyahu out by...?

  • December 3149%YesNo
$124.1MMonthly—

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

  • 25-2935%YesNo
  • 20-2435%YesNo
$105.0K—

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

  • December 3127%YesNo
  • September 307%YesNo
$1.0M—

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

  • No Endorsement65%YesNo
  • Likud33%YesNo
$28.9K—

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

10%chance
YesNo
$90.0K—

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

  • August 317%YesNo
$305.0K—

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

  • Likud53%YesNo
  • Yashar46%YesNo
$236.3K—

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

  • Venezuela10%YesNo
  • Lebanon9%YesNo
$710.5KMonthly—

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

  • Syria7%YesNo
  • Saudi Arabia7%YesNo
$1.6M—