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Geopolitics
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$3.3M
—
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6M
—
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31
17%
Yes
No
$7.3M
—
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
18%
Yes
No
$2.1M
—
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
15%
chance
Yes
No
$240.3K
—
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
August 31
13%
Yes
No
$37.4K
Monthly
—
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
December 31
25%
Yes
No
$371.4K
—
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
$822.6K
—
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.4K
—
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
$66.1K
—
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?
December 31
31%
Yes
No
September 30
17%
Yes
No
$46.7K
—
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
December 31
15%
Yes
No
$434.0K
—
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?
December 31
52%
Yes
No
$54.3K
—
