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All Trade War Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Taxes Treasuries Consumer Housing Labor

All Trade War Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Taxes Treasuries Consumer Housing Labor

Economy

Fed Decision in September?

No change66%Yes No
25 bps increase33%Yes No

$29.6MMonthly—

Fed rate hike in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)86%Yes No
1 (25 bps)9%Yes No

July Inflation US - Annual

3.4%100%Yes No
≤3.1%0%Yes No

$649.5KMonthly—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$7.9MMonthly—

July Inflation US - Monthly

≥0.1%100%Yes No
≤-0.7%0%Yes No

$304.9KMonthly—

Core CPI YoY - July 2026

2.5%100%Yes No
≤2.2%0%Yes No

$140.0KMonthly—

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting49%Yes No
September Meeting33%Yes No

Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA94%Yes No
Apple4%Yes No

$1.8MMonthly—

Core CPI MoM - July 2026

0.2%100%Yes No
≤0.0%0%Yes No

$173.1KMonthly—

2nd Largest Company end of August?

Apple72%Yes No
Alphabet27%Yes No

$268.0KMonthly—

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Pause–Pause–Pause68%Yes No
Other32%Yes No

$719.2KDaily—

3rd Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet56%Yes No
Apple32%Yes No

$47.5KMonthly—

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4.5%19%Yes No
Above 5%11%Yes No

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA71%Yes No
Apple15%Yes No

$5.8MMonthly—

Fed Decision in October?

No change68%Yes No
25 bps increase24%Yes No

$560.4KMonthly—

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 202712%Yes No
December 31, 20265%Yes No

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease85%Yes No
No Change11%Yes No

Price of Dozen Eggs in July?

$2.00–$2.25100%Yes No
$1.75–$2.000%Yes No

$28.5KMonthly—

Fed Decision in January?

No change65%Yes No
25 bps increase22%Yes No

$24.1KMonthly—

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Alphabet70%Yes No
Apple24%Yes No

$252.5KMonthly—

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

0.3%–0.5%52%Yes No
0.0%–0.2%23%Yes No

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Pause–Pause–Pause48%Yes No
Other45%Yes No

$673.9KDaily—

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

25 bps increase63%Yes No
No change37%Yes No