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Geopolitics

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

  • Alibaba89%YesNo
  • Moonshot6%YesNo
$816.4K—

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
YesNo
$39.9MMonthly—

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

31%chance
YesNo
$268.8K—

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%chance
YesNo
$2.9MMonthly—

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

  • Z.ai51%YesNo
  • Moonshot38%YesNo
$90.9KMonthly—

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

  • Alibaba67%YesNo
  • Z.ai14%YesNo
$103.2K—

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

  • Moonshot39%YesNo
  • Z.ai24%YesNo
$47.5KMonthly—

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

  • December 31, 202628%YesNo
$52.4K—

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

7%chance
YesNo
$261.2KMonthly—

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

  • Alibaba25%YesNo
  • CATL22%YesNo
$172.1K—

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

  • Moonshot53%YesNo
  • Z.ai34%YesNo
$54.8KMonthly—

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

1%chance
YesNo
$2.0MMonthly—

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

  • Z.ai41%YesNo
  • Moonshot25%YesNo
$13.8KMonthly—

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

  • Z.ai51%YesNo
  • Moonshot28%YesNo
$24.2KMonthly—

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

  • December 3196%YesNo
  • October 3194%YesNo
$727.1K—

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

  • Alibaba57%YesNo
  • Moonshot22%YesNo
$6.1K—

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

  • #335%YesNo
  • #111%YesNo
$208.0K—

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%chance
YesNo
$1.1M—

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

90%chance
YesNo
$224.5K—

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

  • 4.3-4.6%39%YesNo
$28.4KMonthly—

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

29%chance
YesNo
$16.6K—

US x China Military clash before 2027?

4%chance
YesNo
$197.3K—

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

8%chance
YesNo
$1.3M—

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

  • 4.0–5.0%89%YesNo
  • 5.0–6.0%7%YesNo
$880.9K—