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AllIran CeasefireU.S. x IranStrait of HormuzPeace DealNegotiation TopicsOilIsrael x IranLebanonIran RegimeNuclear
AllIran CeasefireU.S. x IranStrait of HormuzPeace DealNegotiation TopicsOilIsrael x IranLebanonIran RegimeNuclear

Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

6%chance
YesNo
$5.1MMonthly—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

30%chance
YesNo
$8.9MMonthly—

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • December 318%YesNo
  • September 303%YesNo
$71.3M—

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

  • December 3120%YesNo
  • October 3111%YesNo
$11.0M—

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

  • September 3037%YesNo
  • August 317%YesNo
$842.4K—

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

  • September 3016%YesNo
  • September 157%YesNo
$618.0K—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

14%chance
YesNo
$121.8KMonthly—

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

  • December 3142%YesNo
  • October 3131%YesNo
$2.4M—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

2%chance
YesNo
$415.3KMonthly—

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 17?

  • 25-4965%YesNo
  • <2534%YesNo
$25.5KWeekly—

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 17?

  • 200+44%YesNo
  • 180-19928%YesNo
$17.9KWeekly—

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

  • No Return to Normal Traffic in 202672%YesNo
  • December9%YesNo
$312.4K—

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

  • August 3132%YesNo
$751.8K—

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?

  • 30+3%YesNo
  • 40+2%YesNo
$126.7KMonthly—

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?

  • US4%YesNo
  • Italy1%YesNo
$259.4KMonthly—

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • August 311%YesNo
$174.2K—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

21%chance
YesNo
$45.3KMonthly—

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?

  • 0-2096%YesNo
  • 20-402%YesNo
$70.9KMonthly—

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?

  • 25-2933%YesNo
  • 30-3433%YesNo
$25.3KMonthly—

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 24?

  • 25-4946%YesNo
  • <2536%YesNo
$303Weekly—

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • August 311%YesNo
$121.7K—

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • August 311%YesNo
$52.9K—

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • August 311%YesNo
$62.1K—

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • August 311%YesNo
$88.5K—