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AllIran CeasefireU.S. x IranStrait of HormuzPeace DealNegotiation TopicsOilIsrael x IranLebanonIran RegimeNuclear
AllIran CeasefireU.S. x IranStrait of HormuzPeace DealNegotiation TopicsOilIsrael x IranLebanonIran RegimeNuclear

Iran

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • August 2299%YesNo
  • August 2596%YesNo
$1.5M—

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • August 3196%YesNo
  • September 3084%YesNo
$26.1M—

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

  • No Meeting by September 3080%YesNo
  • Switzerland9%YesNo
$5.0MDaily—

Israel closes its airspace by...?

  • September 309%YesNo
  • August 313%YesNo
$27.3M—

Iran full airspace closure by...?

  • December 3130%YesNo
  • September 3012%YesNo
$8.6M—

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

  • Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf44%YesNo
  • Jared Kushner42%YesNo
$238.3KMonthly—

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

  • September 3080%YesNo
  • August 317%YesNo
$60.4KMonthly—

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

  • August 317%YesNo
$305.0K—

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?

  • Jared Kushner4%YesNo
  • Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi2%YesNo
$94.5KMonthly—

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

  • December 319%YesNo
  • September 302%YesNo
$8.4M—

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

  • December 3111%YesNo
$1.2M—

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

  • August 314%YesNo
$171.2KMonthly—

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

18%chance
YesNo
$53.6K—

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

25%chance
YesNo
$33.0KDaily—

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

  • December 3117%YesNo
$1.7M—

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

1%chance
YesNo
$194.1K—

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

  • September 3023%YesNo
  • August 314%YesNo
$189.5K—

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

11%chance
YesNo
$236.0K—