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Politics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$348.0K
Monthly
—
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
$239.4K
—
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
24%
Yes
No
August 31
2%
Yes
No
$1.7M
—
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
0
3%
Yes
No
6
2%
Yes
No
$9.2K
—
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
15%
Yes
No
$42.2K
—
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
30%
chance
Yes
No
$888
Monthly
—
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$17.0K
—
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
33%
chance
Yes
No
$19.0K
Monthly
—
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$24.3K
Monthly
—
