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AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsPrimariesCongressCourtsTrump DailyRussia ElectionIsrael ElectionGerman ElectionsFrench ElectionsUS ElectionMayoral ElectionsSouth KoreaJapanChinaBrazilCanadaVenezuelaTurkeyEpsteinTrump CabinetGov Shutdown

Politics

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

17%chance
YesNo
$1.3M—

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

  • Democratic Party51%YesNo
  • Republican Party50%YesNo
$4.0M—

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

  • 4-694%YesNo
  • 7-94%YesNo
$85.1K—

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

  • 370%YesNo
  • 418%YesNo
$58.9K—

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

  • 10-1282%YesNo
  • 7-910%YesNo
$31.2K—

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

  • 20–2350%YesNo
  • 24–2727%YesNo
$46.6K—

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

68%chance
YesNo
$94.1KMonthly—

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

  • ≤4727%YesNo
$2.9M—

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

6%chance
YesNo
$190.6K—

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

  • Above 5841%YesNo
  • Above 666%YesNo
$10.2K—

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

  • December 31, 20269%YesNo
$116.8K—

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

  • 36–3985%YesNo
$72.2K—

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

  • 125-130m15%YesNo
  • 110-115m12%YesNo
$23.5K—

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

  • November 220%YesNo
$33.4K—

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

  • 780%YesNo
  • 94%YesNo
$102.2K—

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

3%chance
YesNo
$21.7K—

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

6%chance
YesNo
$14.8K—

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

  • Mike Lee34%YesNo
  • Mark Warner25%YesNo
$46.0K—

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

55%chance
YesNo
$449—

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

  • Not Extended & Democratic Party88%YesNo
  • Not Extended & Republican Party10%YesNo
$404.6K—

Blue tsunami in 2026?

49%chance
YesNo
$32.5K—

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

  • Hakeem Jeffries81%YesNo
$2.6K—

Blue wave in 2026?

74%chance
YesNo
$53.9K—

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
$3.6K—