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Tech

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 314%Yes No
September 302%Yes No

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

October 3197%Yes No
September 3092%Yes No

$141.7KMonthly—

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-655%Yes No
<541%Yes No

$502.1KDaily—

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑3k99%Yes No
↑3.5k94%Yes No

$7.9MMonthly—

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

176%Yes No
221%Yes No

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX53%Yes No
Anthropic46%Yes No

New pandemic in 2026?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below75%Yes No
9.0 or above4%Yes No

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

December 31, 202715%Yes No
December 31, 20262%Yes No

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

December 31, 202620%Yes No
October 31, 20268%Yes No

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202768%Yes No
June 30, 202722%Yes No

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

176%Yes No
221%Yes No

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Precipitation in NYC in August?

>6"92%Yes No
4-5"4%Yes No

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

80-9942%Yes No
60-7920%Yes No

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

>1.45ºC44%Yes No
1.38–1.41ºC25%Yes No

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

20,000+3%Yes No

$9.2KMonthly—

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Fewer than 2044%Yes No
20 to 3440%Yes No

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

<425mm49%Yes No

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$312.4KDaily—

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?