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Economy

Fed Decision in September?

  • No change69%YesNo
  • 25 bps increase31%YesNo
$46.6MMonthly—

Fed rate hike in 2026?

57%chance
YesNo
$7.9M—

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

  • 0 (0 bps)85%YesNo
  • 1 (25 bps)10%YesNo
$49.3M—

Fed Decision in December?

  • No change63%YesNo
  • 25 bps increase28%YesNo
$256.4KMonthly—

Fed rate hike by...?

  • October Meeting42%YesNo
  • September Meeting32%YesNo
$2.3M—

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

  • Pause–Pause–Pause66%YesNo
  • Other34%YesNo
$768.4KDaily—

Fed rate cut by...?

  • December Meeting13%YesNo
  • October Meeting5%YesNo
$3.2M—

Fed Decision in October?

  • No change72%YesNo
  • 25 bps increase24%YesNo
$731.1KMonthly—

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

  • ↑ 4.25%13%YesNo
  • ↓ 2.0%3%YesNo
$1.8M—

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

  • Pause–Pause–Pause53%YesNo
  • Other40%YesNo
$718.9KDaily—

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%chance
YesNo
$144.8K—

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

  • 4.0%34%YesNo
  • 3.25%1%YesNo
$6.8M—

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

  • 4.8%67%YesNo
  • 5.0%23%YesNo
$287.9KWeekly—

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

  • 224%YesNo
  • 323%YesNo
$7.3KDaily—

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

  • September 301%YesNo
$4.9K—

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

  • 3.6%5%YesNo
  • 3.7%3%YesNo
$225.4K—

What will be the next Fed rate change?

47%chance
YesNo
$2.6K—

Fed Decision in January?

  • No change61%YesNo
$42.2KMonthly—

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

  • 325%YesNo
  • 220%YesNo
$8.9KDaily—

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

  • September 3014%YesNo
  • August 3113%YesNo
$26.4K—

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

2%chance
YesNo
$5.6K—

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

  • December 31, 202610%YesNo
$318.7K—

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

  • December 3118%YesNo
$436.1K—