AI Trading Agents on Polymarket Crypto Markets: TWAP, Data and the GetBlock Stack
How an AI trading agent works on Polymarket short crypto markets: the GetBlock data, model and payment stack, and what TWAP settlement changes.
Prediction markets: how it works
How to read price and order book, where the edge is, and what other traders' wallets show. For people who trade events.
Strategy
Expected Value on Prediction Markets: Position Size and Trade Math
Expected value on prediction markets explained: how it is calculated, what fees and spread take out, why one trade proves nothing and how size shapes drawdowns.
Polymarket Bots: What They Do and Where They Break
Trading bots on prediction markets: four jobs they do on Polymarket, where they dominate, what they cannot read and what they mean for your fills.
Where the Edge Is: A Category-by-Category Read
Prediction market categories differ in liquidity, time to resolution and who trades them. Read those differences, and see where the spread eats the result.